Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 41.571874 49.029832 57.196863 66.772160 77.657170 89.611919 103.699428
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 30.237818 40.076878 51.893501 66.989622 85.608334 107.657411 135.565516
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 24.026526 34.905085 48.935723 68.052442 93.074063 124.335293 165.915918
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 17.852005 28.279627 42.649149 63.404066 92.038952 129.516075 181.518043
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.269708 25.984940 41.570247 65.155647 99.067022 145.068074 210.981167
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.659283 23.117392 39.148993 64.514253 102.426508 155.588447 234.033473
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.685008 22.606798 40.075922 68.712796 112.837295 176.321084 272.132702
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.291453 19.304070 36.170796 65.021932 111.107174 179.436417 285.290785
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.399776 18.461812 36.111146 67.304208 118.510048 196.163220 318.820523
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.001647 18.455318 37.431315 71.900366 129.779983 219.196132 362.689505
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.274135 17.683274 37.291735 73.966967 137.043919 236.402932 398.507898
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.427012 16.518795 36.282313 74.384322 141.543484 249.444596 428.446107
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.260392 14.568278 33.758251 72.245822 142.265554 257.638070 453.121574
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.496814 13.367708 32.557838 72.472227 147.207088 273.177613 490.682172
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.931708 12.501081 31.893393 73.606830 153.787829 291.742305 534.006071
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.997255 10.447138 28.359226 68.640370 148.768839 290.341976 544.418885
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.681807 9.964590 28.216866 70.512219 156.590729 311.363829 593.109376
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.260316 9.057825 26.938543 69.826845 159.410657 323.703866 627.591882
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.166132 9.122686 28.005834 74.311996 172.646533 355.254099 696.420390
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.689650 7.810316 25.416887 70.369341 168.717940 355.480713 710.693226
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.548284 7.592411 25.620550 72.807585 177.939200 380.302025 769.339323
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.509954 7.739956 26.829191 77.715222 192.603775 415.932193 848.625489
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.377942 7.493567 26.909884 79.920792 201.690931 441.425865 910.582867